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New Zealand and GHG
emissions
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In the Climate Change
space, New Zealand has a unique Greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions profile in
that around 50% is from the digestive systems of ruminants (sheep, cattle,
deer and goats). These animals out-number the human population by around 16
to 1, making the per capita GHG emissions figures look very high
comparatively, albeit that over 80% of the production derived from these
animals is exported.
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Dealing with biogenic
emissions
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After considerable
debate during the passage of the "Zero Carbon Bill", it was agreed
to give the Agricultural sector time to design a mechanism for carbon
pricing. This work is being carried
out under the He Waka Eke Noa ("HWEN") banner. This work is under way.
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This App is based on
the Ministry for the Environment Guidelines last updated in December 2020
with the biogenic emissions calculated by reference to the livestock numbers
on hand as at 30 June each year.
While is is designed to capture all the estimated on-farm GHG emissions on
a global basis, ie entering in the total cattle (dairy
and beef), sheep and deer, it does no necessarily
give an accurate portrayal of the emissions from an individual farming
enterprise. And it has no ability to look at the benefits that can be derived
from different management systems other than reductions in financial year end
stock numbers.
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An important tool
introduced in the 2008 Climate Change legislation was the Emissions Trading
Scheme ("ETS"). Within it there is a mitigation side whereby carbon
sequestering forestry can be recognised by the creation of "carbon
credits" (each equating to one tonne of sequestered carbon), called a
New Zealand Unit ("NZU").
Generally emitters are able to purchase NZUs to cover their net
emissions.
However, this is currently not the case for biogenic methane, with a
decision not scheduled to be made until around 2025. This makes no sense and severely limits the
ability of sheep and beef operations
in particular to undertake any "informed" planning for the
future.
In treating methane as a short term gas, this analysis gives the option of
calculating forestry mitigation requirements on the basis of the GWP20 factor of around 87.
[GWP100 is 25.] The benefit is that the sequestering cover is only required
for 20 years after which the sequestered carbon can cover another emissions
cycle.
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In the absence of an
agreed framework for calculating on-farm emissions MfE has published factors
for agriculture in its calculations Guidelines (linked above). The factors detailed in these guidelines
are used in this calculator.
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Guidelines/Default emissions reporting
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Kg CO2e /hd
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(The factors can be user defined.)
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CH4
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N2O
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CO2e
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Dairy cattle
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Non-dairy cattle
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Sheep
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Deer
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Manure management
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Dairy cattle
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Non-dairy cattle
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Sheep
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Deer
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Agricultural soil
emissions
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Dairy cattle
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Non-dairy cattle
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Sheep
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Deer
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Total from Enteric
fermentation, Manure management & Soil
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CH4
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N2O
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CO2e
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Dairy cattle
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Non-dairy cattle
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Sheep
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Deer
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The above factors are
for livestock on hand at 30 June each year.
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Animal analysis
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Like many arbitrary
dates on which a charge is levied based on "stock on-hand" at a
given date, 30 June is going to result in perverse behaviours, not
necessarily consistent with an orderly
market.
By way of example, with an NZU at $100, the cost of keeping a cattle beast
would be over $170, a lamb more than $34. One could speculate that there will
be market chaos 30 to 60 days either side of 30 June each year, particularly
at processor level where a regular flow of stock is critical.
This method of calculation gives a reasonable result for sheep and beef
breeding enterprises in particular. However, if there is much in the way of
trading, the result might not reflect anything close to actual biogenic
emissions.
Below is a matrix based on the above emissions factors that can be used to
calculate a specific farm's gross emissions for return purposes.
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Fundamental assumptions
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Methane - GWP100
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- GWP20
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Nitrous Oxide - GWP100
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CH4/KgDM
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Effective area (ha)
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Numbers
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CH4
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N2O
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Factor
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Mt CO2e
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Dairy cattle
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Non-dairy cattle
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Sheep
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Deer
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Gross emissions (Mg)
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Implied DMI (KgDM)
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MjME/KgDM
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Emissions sources
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Enteric
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0.0
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Manure
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Soil
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0.0
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Fertiliser
analysis
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Note:
There are default N percentages for Urea, DAP and
SOA. The N % is required for any non-Urea nitrogn fertilisers.
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Fertiliser
(7 options)
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Gross tonnes
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Percent- age
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(Re)define
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Factor
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Mt CO2e
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Summary - On-farm GHG emissions
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Untick to excl
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N2O
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CH4
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CO2
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Mt CO2e
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Fertiliser
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Animals
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Feed quality adjustment
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%
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Existing forest CO2 sequestration
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NET EMISSIONS
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/tonne
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[This does not take account of any existing
sequestering.]
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Select the farm location below.
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mt/ha pa
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Variation
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mt/ha pa
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Weighted average
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Age
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Cover
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Mt CO2e
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Mitigate
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Forest ha
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N2O
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CH4
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CO2
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Required by:
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* There is currently no
ability to mitigate methane.
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Note: In the mitigation space, the MfE calculator gives credit for
regenerating natives. There is no legislative support for that but it should
be the case, albeit at 3.4 tonne pa.
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Notes
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Break-out additional mitigation scenarios
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Note: This calculation doesn't impact
anywhere else..
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Methane emissions are
a function of DMI (KgDM intake or consumed DM). Emissions benefits can
therefore be derived from better nutritional value feedstuffs such as modern
grasses. An additional benefit is that better quality feed will accelerate
weight gain and this reduces emissions intensity, ie emissions per kg of
carcase weight (KgCw).
This section allows the user to explore the benefits that can be derived
from improved MjME.
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CH4
(say)*
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Estimated current
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MjME
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Reduction in KgDM
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* In CO2e terms
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Disclaimer and
conditions of use
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While every effort
has been made to ensure that any statements made or the formulae underpinning
calculations in this App are accurate
at the time of authorship, they should not be relied upon in making any
decisions whatsoever. Any actions being considered that involve the subject
matter of this App should only be made with the benefit of relevant and
competent professional advice.
The fundamental condition of use is that no author, domain owner or referee
has any liability whatsoever in relation to the use of this App. Acceptance
of this condition and thereby access to it for analysis purposes is
acknowledged by accepting the terms below.
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I hereby accept the
conditions of use to gain access to this App.
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